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The Final College Football Playoff Rankings Contradict History

The field for the inaugural College Football Playoff (CFP) was finally set Sunday, but — in true college football style — it wasn’t without controversy. The 12-person CFP selection committee chose Alabama, Oregon, Florida State and Ohio State, arguably snubbing Big 12 co-champions Baylor and (especially) TCU.The last four teams standing are exceptional. The Ducks, Crimson Tide and Buckeyes rank Nos. 1, 2 and 3, respectively, in ESPN’s Football Power Index (FPI). And although the Seminoles have been unconvincing throughout the season, it would have been difficult to justify leaving the undefeated, defending national champion out of the playoff — No. 10 FPI ranking be damned. So, the committee may well have made the best decision it could have, according to its mandate to select the nation’s four best teams.But by ranking TCU third (ahead of both Florida State and Ohio State) the week before the conference championships, the committee also set itself up to violate the precedent of how college football rankings have always worked. That’s why, even after previous No. 5 Ohio State rolled over No. 13 Wisconsin 59-0, the FiveThirtyEight College Football Playoff model — which is based on a historical analysis of Coaches Poll voters’ tendencies — saw little chance that TCU would drop from third place to fifth or lower in the committee’s final rankings.Using the traditional media polls as a guide, that was a reasonable assumption. Since the advent of the Bowl Coalition in 1992, only four times (in 214 opportunities) did the third-ranked team in the AP poll drop below fourth place the week after it won a game over an FBS opponent. All four of those teams (Florida State in Week 1 of the 2002 season, Ohio State in Week 3 of 2003, Tennessee in Week 1 of 2005 and Ohio State in Week 2 of 2008) posted victory margins that underwhelmed their pregame FPI expectations. By contrast, TCU beat its pregame expectations by 19 points in thrashing Iowa State. (And it bears repeating that none of those cases took place any later than the third week of a season, when you would expect voters to still be sorting out the order of teams.)And yet TCU did drop in the committee’s rankings — from third place to sixth, below Florida State, Ohio State and even Baylor (whom the committee had controversially slotted beneath TCU in every previous edition of its rankings, seemingly ignoring the Bears’ head-to-head victory over the Horned Frogs on Oct. 11). It was a stunning fall that, for better or worse, seemed to contradict the way college football teams traditionally move in the rankings.TCU’s exclusion also broke with tradition from another standpoint. Using poll data since 1992, I ran a logistic regression attempting to predict whether a team would finish the regular season in the AP’s top four based on various “résumé” statistics provided by ESPN’s Stats and Info Group. The factors that emerged as significant were a team’s winning percentage (modified slightly by Laplace’s Rule of Succession), its average points-per-game margin, its strength of schedule (according to the average FBS team’s expected winning percentage against its schedule using FPI), and whether it won its conference or not.This year, those criteria would have yielded the following probabilities of making the top four (assuming the committee would follow the pollsters’ traditional logic):(Note: Baylor and TCU were co-champions of the Big 12; for the purposes of the regression, they were each treated the same as a team that was sole champion of its conference.)It’s not outside the realm of plausibility that historical voters would exclude TCU and include Ohio State on the basis of their résumés alone (this method shows there was a 16 percent chance that would happen). In fact, the real AP poll dropped TCU from fourth to sixth, with two teams (Baylor and Ohio State) hurdling the Horned Frogs.It is, however, another way to underscore that the playoff committee may be rethinking the way college football teams have been ranked at the end of the season. As FiveThirtyEight’s editor in chief, Nate Silver, wrote in his final assessment of the committee’s selection, the sport’s old algorithm rarely entailed a top-to-bottom reassessment of the field this late in the year (voters usually just made slight adjustments to teams’ rankings after losses or big wins; otherwise the current rankings were basically enslaved to the previous rankings). The committee’s final rankings, on the other hand, suggest it sorted the teams from scratch after the conference championships, with no allegiance to its previous choices.That’s not necessarily a bad thing. But, like the existence of a playoff in the first place, it’s a new thing. read more

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Board of Trustees to discuss athletic compliance boosters

The Board of Trustees will meet today to discuss Ohio State’s Athletic Compliance Office.Though the board will delve into a number of different compliance concerns, an evaluation of OSU Boosters will lead the discussion.“Boosters and booster groups are consistently an area of primary concern amongst compliance officers across the country, and Ohio State shares these concerns,” according to a university report.The report cites both the size and abundance of booster groups as reasons for potential risk.Because these groups operate on their own and use only their own resources, policing them can be difficult, according to the university.The compliance department, which concerns itself with the enforcement, monitoring, procedures and education of NCAA and Big Ten rules, listed several consequences that would stem from potential noncompliance. Not the least of which was the possibility of a diminished university reputation that the board said would affect “all aspects of campus life” and “would significantly affect philanthropic giving.”To combat the difficulty of enforcing rules among the widespread booster groups and to avoid potential sanctions, the compliance office is considering models used by other universities with similar concerns.These schools, according to the report, “elected to consolidate their booster groups within the athletic department” to increase the ease of communication between the university and its boosters.The report made mention of two Big Ten institutions, Indiana University and the University of Michigan, which have recently been under NCAA scrutiny for major compliance infractions. Following the infractions “at both institutions, significant financial resources were spent as defended their name and reputation,” according to the report.Following today’s discussions, the compliance office will offer its suggestions to the director of athletics as it deems appropriate. read more

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Baseball Ohio State begins ninegame homestand against Northern Kentucky

Scouting Northern KentuckyThe Norse have had a rough time getting things going this season, compiling a 12-22 record that includes an abysmal 6-19 road record. The one thing that has gone well for the Norse this year has been their ability to produce at the plate. As a team, they are batting .275 with 36 home runs so far this season, including a pair of hitters with eight home runs and four regulars batting above .300. The team has scored a total of 211 runs, averaging 6.21 runs per game. Its star bat this season has been junior first baseman and pitcher Trey Ganns. Ganns has eight home runs, while his .310 batting average is sitting as the team’s second-highest among starters. Ganns, the team’s cleanup hitter, has demonstrated an acute ability to clean up the bases, leading the Norse with 32 RBIs this season.Scoring runs has not been an issue for the team. Rather, the issue has been keeping the opponents from scoring runs of their own. Across 287.2 innings the season, the Norse have posted a team ERA of 6.41, which ranks 260th out of 295 Division I programs. Pitchers have struggled to limit contact, having surrendered 364 hits this season (.370 opponents’ average). Finding More Consistency in the OffenseThe Buckeyes’ inability to keep the bats going for extended periods of time has been cited by coach Greg Beals as the chief issue for the team.After the team took two of three against Penn State with a combined 16 runs over the final two games of that series, the OSU offense mustered just two combined runs against a pair of midweek opponents in Cincinnati and Eastern Michigan, and was shut out by Michigan State in its first of the three games in the past weekend’s series. “We’ve been working really hard just with our offensive approach,” Beals said in a press conference last Thursday. “The two midweek games, we didn’t score enough runs to win the game, especially Wednesday night’s game, we pitched the ball really, really well.”Though his team has shown a lot of signs of struggle, Beals said he believes the talent is there for his team to start putting it all together, and he hopes his bats can click in opportune moments.“Each of the guys in our offensive lineup have shown signs of greatness, and we’ve got to find a way to get that out more consistently, and it’s an approach thing that we’ve got to do,” Beals said. “We’ve got to make sure that we are locked in on the pitches we are going to get and be consistent in that approach throughout an at-bat and be able to string some quality at bats together to produce some runs.”The Buckeyes hope to get that offense going again when they take on Northern Kentucky on Wednesday with first pitch scheduled for 6:35 p.m. Then-junior outfielder Tre’ Gantt is greeted by teammates outside the dugout after scoring a run over the weekend in the Big Ten/Pac-12 Challenge in Surprise, Arizona. Credit: Courtesy of Press Pros MagazineOhio State (15-21, 4-8) has been on the road for a while.It’s had some midweek home games mixed in there, but the past two weekend series have been on the road for the Buckeyes.Now OSU is getting a chance to enjoy some home cooking with its second nine-game homestand of the season, which will kick off on Wednesday with a matchup against the Northern Kentucky Norse (12-22, 6-6 Horizon League).The Buckeyes found little success the last time they played nine consecutive home games, amassing a 4-5 record and a 1-4 record in conference games. read more

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Man Utd attempting to sign Alderweireld

first_imgManchester United are reportedly attempting to complete a £55m deal for Toby Alderweireld from Tottenham, claims Manchester Evening NewsThe defender is widely expected to leave Spurs in the summer after falling out of favour with head coach Mauricio Pochettino over the course of this season.While the Argentine remains keen to tie down Alderweireld to a new long-term contract, Spurs are reluctant to match the Belgian’s wage demands.The Norton London side are currently not in a position to be forced into anything with Alderweireld as they have the option to renew his current deal by another year, meaning that the 29-year-old will have to wait until 2020 to leave the club as a free agent.harry maguire, manchester UnitedMaguire says United need to build on today’s win George Patchias – September 14, 2019 Harry Maguire wants his United teammates to build on the victory over Leicester City.During the summer, Harry Maguire was referred to as the ultimate…However, Alderweireld will have the option himself to activate a £25m release clause for the remaining two weeks of the 2019 summer transfer window.In light of this, it seems almost certain that Pochettino will sell the defender with Davinson Sanchez having performed well in the heart of the Spurs defence in Alderweireld’s place.Jose Mourinho has been alerted to this latest development and has identified Alderweireld as someone that will fit in well with his system at United.The Portuguese coach has grown tired of Phil Jones and Victor Lindelof’s struggles and will be in the market for a new centre-back this summer.last_img read more

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Google shows off its selfdriving car prototype

first_img Google showed reporters its tiny, bubble-shaped self-driving prototype vehicle on 29 September. Googles pet project of driverless cars started in 2009 with an intention to revolutionise the car industry.Google and other automotive manufacturers and suppliers have said the technology to build self-driving cars should be ready by 2020. Project director Chris Urmson said the company was taking things steadily.This kind of technology – cars that drive themselves – is a different type of product than most of what Google does. It requires us to think a little differently about how we bring it to market and make sure were very thoughtful about the bar we set before we let it out for people to use, he said.Mainstream carmakers General Motors and Volkswagen and newcomer Tesla are also pushing down the road to automation. Urmson said the new technology in the auto industry was exciting.Were really focusing on this broader goal of mobility for everyone, vehicles that can drive all these places. We think thats really the big opportunity to help people. Its really exciting to see whats happening in the automotive industry, the technology thats flowing in. Theres a lot of opportunity for different solutions and we think this ones exciting, he said.Google executives have said the company does not want to build its own self-driving cars, but would prefer to find a development and production partner. Closelast_img read more

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Missing traders bones found in Savar

first_imgSavarMembers of Rapid Action Battalion (RAB) on Thursday recovered three pieces bones of a missing trader from a guest house in Uttar Boalia area of Ashulia, on the outskirts of Dhaka.RAB-8 company commander major Abdul Hakim said brick trader Billal Hossain, 50, son of late Gaher Ali of Singair upazila in Manikganj, went missing from Bathuni in Dhamrai upazila on 13 April 13.His wife Rokeya Begum filed a general diary with Dhamrai police station, reports UNB.Later, RAB members arrested prime accused Nasir Uddin Dipu and Murshida Akhter, caretakers of the guest house from Laltek area of Savar.Following their information, the elite force recovered the bones of Billal who was sliced into three pieces after murder and buried in the guest house.last_img read more

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Atheer Labs demos 3D virtual objectmanipulation goggles

first_img © 2013 Phys.org Citation: Atheer Labs demos 3-D virtual object-manipulation goggles (2013, July 1) retrieved 18 August 2019 from https://phys.org/news/2013-07-atheer-labs-demos-d-virtual.html Startup glasses overlay Internet on real world (Phys.org) —Atheer Labs has announced the development of a new type of technology that allows for creating and manipulating virtual three-dimensional objects via goggles or by other types of devices. Calling it a Mobile 3D Platform, the technology is meant to function on a variety of different types of devices running different types of operating systems, such as Android or other open source systems. More information: Press release: www.atheerlabs.com/press-relea … e_Mobile_3D_PlatformVideo demo: allthingsd.com/video/?video_id … 94-9255-66EBD13A940Dcenter_img Devices running the system are capable of creating and displaying virtual 3D objects which the viewer sees by looking through a transparent screen. The company demonstrated its new technology at this year’s Wall Street Journal’s D: All Things Digital conference. Using it, a person is able to pop bubbles that appear in the air in front of them, for example, by simply reaching out and “poking” them with a fingertip. Another application allows users to slice virtual fruit with their finger.To create such effects, the system combines augmented reality with sensors similar to those in a Kinect device, incorporating a gyroscope, accelerometer and Wi-Fi antenna. That means the virtual objects that are created can come from the Internet. Representatives for the company at the conference said the goal is create a transformative device that will allow people to access data and information in an entirely new way. Natural gestures, they contend, are the means by which truly immersive devices should operate. To that end, devices running the new system are controlled by voice commands and hand gestures.The new technology, in essence, takes what Google and others are trying to achieve with project Glass and other similar devices and adds both a 3D element and the ability to manipulate them. Virtual objects can be created that appear to exist in the real world. A person could read a newspaper, company reps noted, using goggles outfitted with their new technology that have moving pictures similar to those seen in the Harry Potter movies. Animated objects could literally leap off the page, grabbing the reader’s attention.Atheer Labs is also demonstrating restraint with the new technology; users are allowed to choose which sort of information reaches their device and an option is included that disallows the device from working in an area where such devices have been banned. They added also that the new technology is still under development and thus no time frame for delivering a product has been set. Explore further This document is subject to copyright. Apart from any fair dealing for the purpose of private study or research, no part may be reproduced without the written permission. The content is provided for information purposes only.last_img read more

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Keeping their gods aside

first_imgAt a time when politicians are engaged in spreading mistrust among two major communities – Hindu and Muslims, for their own vested interests, here is group of Muslims who are more concerned about bringing both the communities closer.These Muslims have no reservation in reciting Gayatri Mantras inside the mosque and talk about similarity between religions in their monthly communal harmony meetings.’The members of both the communities- Hindu and Muslim, should develop a habit of sitting together and exchange ideas. There are a lot of similarities between both the religions but the language is the only difference,’ said Arif Beg, founder president of  Also Read – ‘Playing Jojo was emotionally exhausting’Anjuman Amandost Insandost. The septuagenarian Muslim scholar has been organising the communal harmony meetings on first Sunday of every month since for the last 30 years. The meetings are organised in a old mosque in Old Delhi area- Makki Masji Mehdiyan.’I don’t know if I would be able to prevent youths from straying and bring both the communities on right track together for betterment of the society but I am confident that it a right step in right direction,’ he added.Beg, has been Minister of State in central government during 1977-79, he left BJP in 1999 to join Congress but rejoined BJP in 2003. The meetings are organised in a old mosque in Old Delhi area-  Also Read – Leslie doing new comedy special with NetflixMakki Masji Mehdiyan.’The problems of all such issues is lack of education and most importantly moral education. The day parents will understand the importance of education these problems would perish from our society,’ said Beg. Unlike other Muslims clerics he is against the reservation for any community. ‘Dr B R Amebedar has demanded reservation in jobs only for 10 years but we have carrying it even today,’ he added stressing on the fact that a lot needs to change.last_img read more

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Two killed after portion of coal mine in Pandaveswar caves in

first_imgKolkata: Two workers were killed in a coal mine at Pandaveswar in West Burdwan when a portion of it caved in on Sunday early morning.Police said the victims — Chandrasekhar Giri (42) and Kaleswar Mahato (40) — were working night shift and they got trapped when a portion of mine caved in at around 4.15 am on Sunday. The incident took place at Pandaveswar Khottadihi Coalmine.Chandrasekhar used to work as an overman while Kaleswar was a dresser.They were working at the coal mine since last night. All of a sudden, a rock slab around seven feet in length fell on them. Also Read – Rain batters Kolkata, cripples normal lifeOther workers gathered in the area and took the initiative to rescue them. Disaster Management Group of the Eastern Coalfields Limited (ECL) also went to the spot and continued the rescue work. They found the workers trapped inside the coal mine. Both of them were rescued and taken to a hospital where they were declared brought dead.The incident led to panic among other workers and immediately demanded necessary steps to check recurrence of such incidents. Also Read – Speeding Jaguar crashes into Mercedes car in Kolkata, 2 pedestrians killedThey also demanded a probe by the ECL authorities in this connection. The victim’s co-workers demanded a compensation amount and a job for one of their family members.Other workers, who witnessed the incident, told police they heard a loud sound all of a sudden.Initially, they couldn’t understand what had happened. Later, they realised that a portion of the coalmine had caved in. Initially, they couldn’t understand whether anyone was trapped under it. But within a few minutes, it became clear to them that Chandrasekhar and Kaleswar were trapped. They cried for help and the authorities took necessary step to carry out the rescue work.”Both Chandrasekhar and Kaleswar were busy in their work when the incident took place. They did not get time to move out of the place before the rock slab fell on them,” said a worker adding that they expect that the authorities will take necessary steps so that such an incident doesn’t take place again.last_img read more

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Barun Ray to take charge of state monitoring cell

first_imgKolkata: The Mamata Banerjee government on Tuesday appointed an IAS officer to take charge of the recently constituted monitoring cell for proper implementation of government schemes and to probe allegations of taking money (referred to as cut money) against giving benefits under the schemes.IAS Barun Ray, the 1992 batch officer who has been given the charge of the cell, was posted as commissioner, Malda division. Ray has also been transferred to the post of commissioner, Burdwan division. Also Read – Rs 13,000 crore investment to provide 2 lakh jobs: MamataHe will hold the charge of OSD at the Chief Minister’s Office (CMO) in the rank of principal secretary in charge of Monitoring of Programme Implementation and Grievance Cell. Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee had opened the cell for “Programme Implementation of Government Schemes and Redressal of Grievances/Complaints” and announced a toll-free number for lodging complaints. The cell has received 1,500 complaints so far. Once a beneficiary from the districts raises his/her issue with the CMO through email at wbcmro@gmail.com, it will be thoroughly examined and replied to within 10 days. Also Read – Lightning kills 8, injures 16 in stateThe new and unprecedented approach is aimed at refining the whole delivery mechanism system of the schemes in the state. The fundamental objective of the move is to reach out to the marginalised benefici- aries. Colonel (retired) Diptangshu Chowdhury, who heads the cell, has visited the districts and interacted with the beneficiaries who have been denied government welfare scheme benefits or harassed while receiving such benefits. The state government has asked police superintendents to initiate cases on complaints of accepting cut money under Section 409 of the Indian Penal Code, which calls for a maximum punishment of life imprisonment.last_img read more

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